Based on reliability, Gary might well feel ripped off, and perhaps he was!
But having done the maths, even though Gary’s LEDs failed prematurely, the light they produced was still cheaper than filament bulbs. The purpose of a lamp is to emit useful light, and LEDs do that very efficiently, resulting in low running costs compared with incandescent tungsten wire. Efficiency almost always matters more than reliability, at least when I’m paying the bill.
A lamp failing is very annoying after those pesky salesmen implied it would last forever but we live in an imperfect world. Deliberate deception apart, lamps tested in laboratory conditions show the Average Rated Life of a well-made filament bulb to be in the region of 3000 hours, whilst the ARL of a well-made LED is at least 10x that. ARL is the average time it takes 50% of a large sample of lamps under test to fail. So for every lamp that lasts more than 50000 hours, another lasts less than 50000 hours. An ARL of 50000 hours doesn’t mean that each and every lamp we buy will last that long. ARL isn’t a cut-off point, or a minimum, or an average. It’s a reasonable indication not a guarantee.
Another misleading fact. The world’s longest burning filament bulb was switched on in 1909, but that doesn’t means it’s technology is reliable. Although there’s a single impressive survivor, billions of similar lamps that type failed between 1909 and today, most of them after about 2000 hours, and many millions the first time they were switched on. Outliers, whether good or bad, don’t establish anything. The average is much closer to the truth, but always read the small print.
Unfortunately measuring ARL in a lab doesn’t guarantee the same lamps will perform just as well everywhere else. We have homes that suffer spiky electricity, allow lamps to overheat, get damp, and they’re vibrated as we walk around. We also like to buy cheap. Real world reliability is likely to be worse than laboratory reliability, but it’s
Beware developing a rose tinted view of the past, it’s an age thing! I’ve not kept a record of how many lamps I’ve had to replace since leaving home, but it’s a lot! Cars, bikes, torches, radios, ovens, and fridges etc, at least 2 or 3 per year for half a century. My mum is filament lit throughout, and I’ve changed 8 of hers this year so far.
Gut feel is fluorescent tubes are much better than filaments, but I’ve replaced several. CFGs tend to go dim rather than fail and the four I’m still running are nearly 10 years old. Too early to say about LEDs, but I fitted 6 two years ago with no failures yet, and they’re bright.
Nothing new in people selling sub-standard products, planned obsolescence, and other ways of extracting money from consumers. Light bulbs and the Phoebus Cartel was an early global example. In 1924 all the big filament bulb makers agreed to limit light-bulb ARL to 1000 hours by design, so that people would have to buy replacements more often. Of course bad behaviour persists today, but on the whole, my experience suggests LED lights aren’t a major offender.
Dave