Geoff, if the methodology is wrong, so will be the results that you get.
You seem to be saying that the OD of the chuck body runs out without knowing if it is being measured in the correct way. And without using the correct methodology, any error MAY be due to the chuck, or to the arbor, the way it is mounted, or to the manner in which the measurement.
As both Oldiron and I have already said, measurements taken using incorrect methods are useless.
Would you believe the result if your DTI was hanging on the end of a piece of string?
You still don't know if your chuck is defective, because you appear not know if the measurement is taken in the right place, or if the result is being affected by external conditions.
Your question is still at the "How long is a piece of string?" stage.
No one can give an answer with any accuracy, because you have not made plain your measuring methods
If you seek precision, you must be precise, in methods and instruments.
Sailing ships measured speed by throwing a piece overboard and measuring how much line ran out in a given time. You wouldn't use that to measure the speed of your car on a motorway., because amongst many other reasons, the methodology is wrong for those conditions.
IF your car would run on kerosene, would you seriously expect it to perform as well as if fuelled with 100 octane gasolene?
Howard