It is hard to find hard and fast figures for this and it is based on current technology. The break even point for the green credentials of an EV is a far greater mileage than I will do in 15 years since I no longer commute to work 5 days a week. Since it seems likely that the battery will need replacing if it gets wet or damaged in that 15 years the true eco-friendly cross over point of an EV is probably greater than claimed. Estimated lifetime of the batteries is turning out to be optimistic. Insurers are writing off EVs with damaged batteries because they are too costly to replace.
My conclusion is that it makes little sense for a driver doing low annual mileage to be forced to buy and use a vehicle whose production using current technology causes such damage to the planet over and above current ICE vehicles before they have left the showroom. Where I live is poorly catered for by public transport so a car is pretty much essential. I was recently asked to go to for routine check-up at a local hospital 39 miles away.
Back to infrastructure matters, I remember reading that if all cars are driving down the centre of traffic lanes under the control of a self driving vehicle computer then the road will rapidly become rutted as wear is not distributed over the whole area of that lane. I was reminded of this recently when driving in lane 1 of a motorway that had obvious ruts from HGV wheels. Heavy EVs will also add to this damage.
Perhaps we need a small, lightweight, high mpg class of ICE vehicle for people who only do a low annual mileage as an alternative to being pushed into a heavy EV with a high, upfront, carbon footprint.
Martin C
Edited By Martin Connelly on 19/04/2023 08:42:51