Posted by Clive India on 09/01/2023 09:28:14:
Posted by SillyOldDuffer on 08/01/2023 15:10:35:
Rhubarb
Electricity produced by Green methods is dirt cheap, the problem being it depends on the weather. So it has to be stored in some way.
Even more Rhubarb
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Not sure why the idea Green electricity could be cheap is surprising!
When coal was first exploited it was expensive compared with wood. Digging coal out of the ground and transporting it around the country by packhorse was daft compared with firewood from the forest. Didn't last! England was heavily forested, but our forefathers chopped most it down, needing land for farming, and wood for construction, heating, and charcoal for iron and steel. A huge energy crisis developed during the 18th century as the country ran out of wood, and coal saved the day.
Not cheap or easy. Not much UK coal was near the surface. Expensive shafts had to be dug below the water table, requiring costly horses to lift large quantities of water and waste. Coal itself is heavy, making it costly to distribute to customers, because everything needed animal muscle at a top speed of 2mph.
The high cost of distributing coal was solved by building a large canal network. Seriously difficult at the time and the engineering cost more than most countries earned, leading to major advances in finance and understanding how to organise enormous infrastructure projects. Many other side benefits, because the system allowed other goods to be transported cheaply around the country. Canals cost a lot of time and money to set up, but once up and running they paid for themselves.
Canals didn't solve the problem of lifting coal and water above ground, so our ancestors tackled that too, inventing steam pumps, steam winches, and steam locomotives. All hugely expensive at the time, but the money encouraged other industries to do better. Iron makers switched from Charcoal to Coke, and the price of metal to dropped sharply. Everyone profited by selling more.
Steam locomotion led to the railways, another gigantically expensive infrastructure investment, and these created even more wealth, and made us mobile.
We call this period the Industrial Revolution because it completely changed how we live. In the 1841 Census, the largest single occupation is Agricultural Labourer. The 1851 Census shows massive numbers left farming for many new occupations in the cities. British society changed radically in the 19th Century, and the rest of the world followed. Disbelieving similar scale change is possible is a failure of imagination.
Back then, newspapers, diaries, sermons and parliamentary debates all show strong resistance to these changes. Small c conservatives in droves found it necessary to explain that changes wouldn't work, where too expensive, would ruin society, were godless, or any other objection they could imagine.
In the main, they were wrong! Although a few lost out, and change is always unpleasant, most people prospered.
The same is true today. Resource shortages challenge the way we do things, and so does knowing human activity is changing the atmosphere enough to cause climate change. The consequences of are very severe, for example triggering mass migrations all around the planet. The current problem is tiny in comparison.
It's true that switching to new energy sources requires heavy investment, and other changes, but there's nothing new in that. The Victorians changed the world; so can we. Making progress requires us to accept that old ways aren't the only answer. Also know that although new technology starts out by being expensive and unreliable, that doesn't last. As technology develops, prices drop whilst reliability rises. Everything from cars to computers via TV sets! Colour TV was once an expensive luxury, now a mobile phone does TV as an afterthought. Vision by telephone was impossible when I was 40, but new technology changed everything.
Exactly the same arc with Green Electricity. Twenty years ago it was heavily subsidised, made an insignificant contribution to the grid, and didn't impress.
Pay attention at the back! Time marches on. About 30% of UK electricity now comes from Green sources, and the figure is rising. Cheap too: once built and connected (both pricey), maintenance costs are low and the fuel is free. The only disadvantage is wind and sun depend on the weather.
Meanwhile, the price of coal and oil are rising as demand exceeds supply. Not cheap either; new oil rigs cost billions, and then coal and oil have to be shipped to us. That fossil fuel costs are going to rise sharply over the next 20 years is very obvious. That alone is forcing change on us. Hoping it won't happen doesn't help! It's 2022, not 1955.
Anyway, rhubarb is good for us. It clears ill-humours by unblocked our nethers! Not sure rhubarb fixes constipated imaginations though. Shocking though it may seem, our successors don't have to rely on grandad's opinions. Just as well, because the future brings different problems.
Dave