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  • #757117
    Vic
    Participant
      @vic

      Interesting. I wonder if the ten year prediction will pan out?

      IMG_2104

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      #757139
      Bazyle
      Participant
        @bazyle

        It seems like all taxis are electric nowadays round London and loads of cars are at least Hybrid. Doing 2 days of car park duty at the St Albans DMES show last weekend I was surprised that the number of electric cars were far higher than last year, and half of them seemed to be Teslas. (plus and E-type and a few Landys)

        Hopefully soon the electric cars will include a “don’t park like a prat when the attendant is at the other end of the car park” feature.

        #757193
        old fool
        Participant
          @old-fool

          Hi. In cities electric makes sense but not where I live. The only place I could get a re-charge is the supermarket when I do the weekly shop (which I push back to once every fortnight if I can). I don’t have parking outside my home so no chance of home charger.

          Not sure why everyone has become so anti diesel, from a CO2 point of view it is better than petrol (there’s more energy in diesel than petrol so more miles/gallon, less fuel in less CO2 out). As for other emitions the “add blue” system takes most out. In fact most HGV’s pump cleaner air out than they take in!

          Not to say we don’t have to end fossil fuels, just not sure battery is the way to go long term. For instance there is a lot of polution connected with mining the raw materials and no one is quite sure how to recycle  it at the end. Battery lorries are not viable. The truck would be fully loaded before you put anything on it.

          Hydrogen has possibilities but also problems. JCB near me has started  to make diggers powered that way but there’s a lot of development yet to do. And a lot more wind & solar farms if we’re going to have green hydrogen.

          Should keep you all thinking for some time!      Bob

          #757194
          JasonB
          Moderator
            @jasonb

            Not seen the DHL advert then? I expect their loads are quite light but bulky so not such a large draw on the battery as a truck pulling a heavy load and what allows them to have an additional trailer full. Half way down page 

            #757197
            Michael Gilligan
            Participant
              @michaelgilligan61133

              Some quite impressive stuff linked from that page, Jason … thanks

              MichaelG.

              #757198
              bernard towers
              Participant
                @bernardtowers37738

                strange how my toyota diesel has written on the mot ,no recordable readings.

                #757199
                JasonB
                Moderator
                  @jasonb

                  Not that strange, you can run diesels in the ULEZ zones without having to pay provided they meet the right figures.

                  #757201
                  Vic
                  Participant
                    @vic
                    On old fool Said:

                     

                    Not sure why everyone has become so anti diesel, from a CO2 point of view it is better than petrol (there’s more energy in diesel than petrol so more miles/gallon, less fuel in less CO2 out). As for other emitions the “add blue” system takes most out. In fact most HGV’s pump cleaner air out than they take in!

                    Bob

                    As Robert Llewelyn put it in a recent video, we’ve known for *40 years just how dangerous Diesel exhaust emissions are. Diesel particulates, even from modern cars cause Heart Disease, Lung Disease, and Dementia. It’s recently been linked with Parkinson’s as well.
                    Petrol cars aren’t perfect by any means but many have suggested they are a lot better than Diesel for emissions.

                    * A study was carried out in the USA in the 1980’s to find out why so many truck drivers were getting lung cancer.

                    Modern, so called “clean” Diesels are still killing people.

                    https://www.transportenvironment.org/articles/new-diesels-new-problems

                     

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                    #757209
                    SillyOldDuffer
                    Moderator
                      @sillyoldduffer
                      On old fool Said:

                      … I don’t have parking outside my home so no chance of home charger.

                      A real problem, and not enough is being done about it yet.   The answer is charge points located in car parks and streetside (in lampposts!).   Where do you park now?

                       

                      Not sure why everyone has become so anti diesel, from a CO2 point of view it is better than petrol (there’s more energy in diesel than petrol so more miles/gallon, less fuel in less CO2 out). As for other emitions the “add blue” system takes most out. In fact most HGV’s pump cleaner air out than they take in!

                      Wishful thinking I’m afraid.  The government pushed hard for motorists to go diesel a few decades ago precisely because it’s arguably better than petrol.   Unfortunately, diesel engines, especially small ones, emit micro-particulates and other nasties that cause serious trouble in towns.  Additives help a little, but diesel vehicles are unwelcome in confined spaces.   HGVs do not “pump cleaner air out than they take in!

                      Not to say we don’t have to end fossil fuels, just not sure battery is the way to go long term. For instance there is a lot of polution connected with mining the raw materials and no one is quite sure how to recycle  it at the end.

                      Not so – electric cars are highly recyclable.   The pollution caused by extracting raw materials is no worse than the pollution caused by making IC vehicles.  But I agree, batteries aren’t suitable for everything.

                       

                      Battery lorries are not viable. The truck would be fully loaded before you put anything on it.

                      Nope, depends on the load and range required.   True, a battery HGV shifting steel girders across Australia doesn’t make sense, but there are plenty of short-range deliveries inside the UK that electric will do cheaper and cleaner.

                      Bob

                      Thinking outside the box opens up many other possibilities.   For example, a great deal of British shopping is organised around deliveries from large central ‘fulfilment centres’, each serving a local area with vans.  At the moment Fulfilment Centres are stocked mostly with HGVs, but there’s a business case for feeding them by rail, in containers, straight from the ports.   Saves a lot of money where this can be done – one driver pulling a train of 30 containers, compared with 30 drivers and 30 HGVs.

                      HGVs are on my priority ‘keep fueled’ list, and I’m sure they will be important for several decades yet. Their ‘go anywhere’ flexibility is useful. Not a protected species though! As soon as useful alternatives appear, they’ll be used.

                      Dave

                      #757214
                      Michael Gilligan
                      Participant
                        @michaelgilligan61133

                        Isn’t a shame that we never optimised the Canal network … Just a case of bad timing, I guess.

                        MichaelG.

                        #757215
                        noel shelley
                        Participant
                          @noelshelley55608

                          With all forms of electricity generation producing Co2 stopping in the future, 2030 ? where will our electricity come from on a still, dark night ? Will those with smart meters that work be cut off during such periods to reduce the load ? Just curious ! Noel.

                          #757227
                          JasonB
                          Moderator
                            @jasonb

                            Tidal, letting water out of a welsh lake, Charging your own powerwall from your solar during the day to use at night, etc

                            #757229
                            not done it yet
                            Participant
                              @notdoneityet
                              On JasonB Said:

                              Tidal, letting water out of a welsh lake, Charging your own powerwall from your solar during the day to use at night, etc

                              Definitely all those plus nuclear, international HVDC inter-connectors and the possible plan to install a huge (currently barren) site for solar and wind generation (along with some form of energy storage) in Morocco with the accompanying HVDC connection to the UK.

                              Vehicle-to-grid and vehicle-to-load may well provide/replace the odd GW, too?

                              iI’ve not seen, anywhere, that gas generation is to cease in 2030 (likely just another story from conspiracy-theory merchants?).

                              It is known that we hope to be able to run without gas generation for periods from 2025.  This could occur at the present time – if the grid did not require spinning reserve (for restarts after a serious black-out).

                              I would expect combined cycle gas plants may well be turned off, but kept in reserve/stand-by for prolonged periods of low renewables.  Maybe even some open circuit gas generators to be retained (these are able to generate, from a cold start, within about ten minutes).

                              #757230
                              not done it yet
                              Participant
                                @notdoneityet

                                Old fool posted:

                                quote: Not sure why everyone has become so anti diesel, from a CO2 point of view it is better than petrol (there’s more energy in diesel than petrol so more miles/gallon, less fuel in less CO2 out). As for other emitions the “add blue” system takes most out. In fact most HGV’s pump cleaner air out than they take in!  unquote.

                                The amount of CO2 production between petrol and diesel is not as simple as expressed above.  The chemical energy derived is from both conversion of Carbon to carbon dioxide and Hydrogen to water.  The ratio of hydrogen to carbon atoms is different for each fuel – more carbon atoms in diesel hydrocarbons than those in petrol.  I’m not going to check/calculate, but likely more CO2 from diesel and more H2O from petrol!

                                Just because engines are taking in already contaminated air in urban situations does not make it better.  If the engine ingests clean air it cannot, by definition, make it cleaner!  The tiniest particles are not all collected by the DPF!  Only the conspiracy merchants believe lots of CO2 from the exhaust makes it ‘cleaner’.  That’s ignoring some of the more toxic emissions that are simply carcinogenic, etc.

                                The admission that “add blue” takes out “most” clearly means it does not remove “all”.  Please let’s just read (and believe) the proper articles and not those from the conspiracy merchants!

                                #757232
                                duncan webster 1
                                Participant
                                  @duncanwebster1

                                  Ad blue takes out NOX, not particulates.

                                  #757236
                                  Macolm
                                  Participant
                                    @macolm

                                    Here are makers emission limits for the current Peugeot 308 for petrol, hybrid & diesel.

                                    308-emissions

                                    #757258
                                    Mark Rand
                                    Participant
                                      @markrand96270
                                      On duncan webster 1 Said:

                                      Ad blue takes out NOX, not particulates.

                                      Diesel engined vehicles have had particulate filters for longer than they’ve had catalysts. The vehicles that people seem to get het up about have been out of production for a couple of decades…

                                      #757273
                                      Howard Lewis
                                      Participant
                                        @howardlewis46836

                                        Vehicles that meet Euro 6 emissions regulations are pretty clean.

                                        My, (Admittedly petrol) is Euro6 compliant and at each MOT the emissions measured are either Zero, or have 2 Zeros after the decimal point, to my surprise.

                                        Have spent the major part of my life working in and around Development of Diesel engines, to meet increasing stringent emissions regulations. A lot of engines, for various reasons could not meet the newer regulations. One, because it was so efficient that it could not raise the exhaust temperature to the point where the catalyst lit off, and so failed the test!

                                        (The change from one year to the next required a decrease of particulates by a factor of ten!) Compliance  requires a VAST amount of work and investment.

                                        Being cynical, it could be argued that some engines, at one time, used turbochargers to provide excess air, for a blow down effect during valve overlap, to dilute the exhaust gases!

                                        The urge to go diesel powered , although welcome, did not come from the industry, but from our “elders and betters”. Later administrations, possibly in possession of newer data, reversed that, and Industry, again, had to comply.

                                        In Britain, pre emissions regulation, the target was always a Just Visible exhaust haze, not smoke.         In Britain, Rolls-Royce was trying to develp a smoke meter, based on opacity, but were beaten to market by Leslie Hartridge. The German Bosch smoke meter passed an exhaust sanple through a filter paper, and then measured the opacity, or the reflectance of the paper.

                                        The acceptamce levels were 30% Hartridge or 3 Bosch, maximum.

                                        In the USA the axiom once was “If she ain’t smoking, she ain’t pulling”, which probably accounts for the high incidence of lung cancer anong truck drivers.  Probably not helped by the habit of leaving engines idling all night to have a warm cab in the morning.

                                        I know of one tractor manufacturer, who years ago, complained that the smoke levels were too low, so that the tractor could not be located from the homestead!

                                        How things have changed!

                                        Howard

                                        #757291
                                        Nigel Graham 2
                                        Participant
                                          @nigelgraham2

                                          Going back up-thread a bit…

                                          Dave –

                                          .A real problem, and not enough is being done about it yet. The answer is charge points located in car parks and streetside (in lampposts!). Where do you park now?

                                          In response to Old Fool saying he can’t charge an electric car at home.

                                          No, your street-lamps suggestion is just not practical. I too live in a street with no private parking. It is one-way, finding somewhere to park is always a lottery, and it has only three or four lamp-posts.

                                          That situation, with homes built before widespread ownership of cars, or even before cars, is very, very common.

                                          Or more modern homes as near my previous one, built in the 1970s I think but on a steep hillside so residents had to park somewhere in the street or a nearby unallocated car-park, and trudge up or down steep steps to the front door.

                                          There are even modern housing estates built like it, from a misguided idea a few decades ago to persuade people to do without cars because all their housing, work, education, health and shopping services will be within housing-estates dressed up as pseudo-villages, compact enough for Shanks’ Pony or the Safety Bicycle. Or lots of omnibuses.

                                           

                                          So even if technically practical, putting chargers on street-lamps to compensate for lack of domestic drives, will remove several parking spaces from each street, and anyway, how on Earth are the residents supposed to share the time on them?

                                          Oh – and there are also many who live in rural villages that have the same lack of private parking, and sometimes no available parking next to the house at all, and no lamp-posts.

                                          .

                                          There is also a dearth of public car-parks in which to accommodate two or three chargers, and those in towns are commonly very expensive to use.

                                           

                                          The blunt truth is that very many motorists owning electric cars can only ever be reliant on public chargers, just as they are on liquid-fuel pumps, but far less conveniently. That’s if they can afford the cars anyway, of course.

                                          #757301
                                          duncan webster 1
                                          Participant
                                            @duncanwebster1

                                            Near where my son lives the council has installed pavement edge charge points. They look just like fire hydrants and each one has I think 2 outlets. No doubt horrendously overpriced and reliant on an app. Why do you need an app for everything, just put in your credit card like buying petrol.

                                            #757309
                                            Michael Gilligan
                                            Participant
                                              @michaelgilligan61133

                                              Shell is in on the act:

                                              https://ubitricity.com/en/charging-solutions/ac-lamppost/

                                              … I hope the local dogs are suitably cautious !
                                              MichaelG.

                                              #757320
                                              pgk pgk
                                              Participant
                                                @pgkpgk17461

                                                I’m sure many remember the days when if a phone call was necessary, then it depended on the good graces of the family in the street that actually had a phone to allow such an urgent call. Then there were the days when one might be lucky enough to have a party line and pressed a button on the handset to see if it was clear for your turn to make a call..
                                                The point being that change takes time. Car owners park their cars somewhere, and wherever those somewheres are can be fitted with a charging point – in due time. If self-driving tech ever actually works, and I’m pretty sceptical, then there will be less need for car ownership.

                                                The bigger issue is that public EV charging has become quite pricey to the point where it is as expensive or more so than fossil fuel per mile and if the mooted schemes for road pricing get added in then car ownership will become limited to the wealthy. Insurance rates have become pretty silly too.

                                                Similar arguments can be made for fast internet. Out here in rural-land I see no evidence that I’d ever be offered a fast fixed line, cell phone coverage is poor and I don’t want to pay satellite internet fees – so one finds ways of managing or tolerating the status quo. It’ll be even worse when analogue phones get switched off with patchy power cuts isolating us further from emergency responses. Back-up flare pistol :-)?

                                                 

                                                #757426
                                                vintage engineer
                                                Participant
                                                  @vintageengineer

                                                  If we stop burning oil what do we do with it, as it will become waste for the oil industry?

                                                  #757432
                                                  Michael Gilligan
                                                  Participant
                                                    @michaelgilligan61133
                                                    On vintage engineer Said:

                                                    If we stop burning oil what do we do with it, as it will become waste for the oil industry?

                                                    I fear that there is currently too much “Missionary Zeal” around … and not enough attention being paid to  “Total Cost of Ownership”and such.

                                                    No point trying to discuss such things here though … so we best keep to the technicalities.

                                                    MichaelG.

                                                    #757435
                                                    Vic
                                                    Participant
                                                      @vic
                                                      On vintage engineer Said:

                                                      If we stop burning oil what do we do with it, as it will become waste for the oil industry?

                                                      Perhaps only extract what we need to make plastics etc.

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