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  • #36647
    Vic
    Participant
      @vic
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      #573323
      Vic
      Participant
        @vic

        Boss Herbert Diess recently said this:

        German unions aren’t happy as he predicted up to 200,000 jobs could be lost in the coming years as they switch to EV production. The most obvious reason being EV’s (Tesla at least) have 1/6 the number of parts of old fashioned cars.

        Full article Here

        I also read recently that if car makers do not meet stringent EU CO2 targets the fines to manufacturers will on average be €1,430 for every car they sell. Total bill the article said would be in the region of €20 Billion.

        They better start dropping the price so I buy one! laugh

        #573324
        not done it yet
        Participant
          @notdoneityet

          Was he referring to running costs, not initial capital expenditure?

          #573329
          Vic
          Participant
            @vic
            Posted by not done it yet on 28/11/2021 14:18:34:

            Was he referring to running costs, not initial capital expenditure?

            There’s a link to the article. wink

            #573332
            John Haine
            Participant
              @johnhaine32865

              The whole of life costs I think. Capital cost is higher up-front but running and maintenance costs lower.

              #573334
              Ex contributor
              Participant
                @mgnbuk

                The German Govenment grant of €9570 for a BEV rather skews things in the EVs favour & the ID4 having only around a quarter of the example Tiguans range would put off many. Of the examples given, only a base model ID4 may qualify of the UK grant of £2500 on qualifying vehicles with a RRP OTR of under £35K. The original German magazine article quotes depreciation guesstimates not shown in the link, which are higher for the EV than the ICE car.

                The insurance estimates suggest that the EVs are cheaper to insure in Germany, but the opposite appears to the case here ?

                Not sure running & maintenance costs lower – seen several suggestiions that BEV tyre wear is higher than ICE, brakes require un-siezing more often & coolant changes expensive. I have been tentatively looking at MG BEVs & some of the 3year service plan costs quoted on the owners forum are more than a 3 year plan for my current diesel Hyundai.

                Nigel B.

                #573341
                Peter Cook 6
                Participant
                  @petercook6

                  The other issue is the cost of replacing the batteries. They will have a limited life, and the cost of replacement will be? I doesn't seem to be factored into the figures anywhere and from what I have seen of BEV construction it is going to be a far from trivial job to replace them.

                  Or are the cars themselves (rather like smartphones and tablets) considered disposable at the end of their batteries useful life?

                  #573342
                  larry phelan 1
                  Participant
                    @larryphelan1

                    Believe little of what you see, and less of what you hear and you just might get the real story.

                    #573346
                    Bill Phinn
                    Participant
                      @billphinn90025

                      To trust the pronouncements of Herbert Diess, the CEO who disingenuously claimed never to have heard of the Uighur detention camps in Xinjiang, where Volkswagen's factories had been operating for over thirty years, requires a suspension of disbelief I'm not always capable of.

                      As for Electrek, their disclosures section is telling:

                      "Disclosures. Some writers of Electrek maintain long positions in $TSLA, $SEDG, $NIU, $QS, $VWAGY and other green energy stocks."

                      #573349
                      Vic
                      Participant
                        @vic
                        Posted by Bill Phinn on 28/11/2021 16:40:38:

                        To trust the pronouncements of Herbert Diess, the CEO who disingenuously claimed never to have heard of the Uighur detention camps in Xinjiang, where Volkswagen's factories had been operating for over thirty years, requires a suspension of disbelief I'm not always capable of.

                        As for Electrek, their disclosures section is telling:

                        "Disclosures. Some writers of Electrek maintain long positions in $TSLA, $SEDG, $NIU, $QS, $VWAGY and other green energy stocks."

                        Your comments are irrelevant and you’re choosing to miss the point that the original information came from Auto Zeitung a German Car Magazine which Herbert Diess confirmed. wink

                        #573350
                        J Hancock
                        Participant
                          @jhancock95746

                          The same comparison by Volvo completely reverses those figures towards ICE cars being the lesser polluting

                          for at least the first 7 years.

                          #573353
                          Ady1
                          Participant
                            @ady1

                            Has he missed out taxes in his calculation?

                            Road Mileage taxes?

                            More taxes on the electricity supply system?

                            Import taxes?

                            Save the planet VAT taxes?

                            Build the recharge system taxes?

                            (A pack of cigarrettes costs a quid with no taxes)

                            Edited By Ady1 on 28/11/2021 17:47:45

                            #573499
                            Howard Lewis
                            Participant
                              @howardlewis46836

                              NO government will miss the opportunity to replace road fuel taxes with one on electricity for road use (If not general muse )

                              We are all human, so need to be aware of human nature, and the need (real or imagined ) to charge for something.

                              Howard

                              .

                              #573535
                              Ady1
                              Participant
                                @ady1

                                We're racing about visiting places all over the place at the minute because I reckon that this is the final cheap time for motorists and in a decade or so the cost of going anywhere is going to be very silly

                                I was watching the men in sheds chap touring Sweden before covid and he was going around some fabulous destinations and their roads were deserted compared to here (I'm in Scotland not even England). Maybe they can't be bothered with the outdoors but I don't think that's how the Swedish do things if they have any choice

                                So it's do-it-while-you-can time IMO

                                #573547
                                Neil Wyatt
                                Moderator
                                  @neilwyatt
                                  Posted by Peter Cook 6 on 28/11/2021 16:10:42:

                                  The other issue is the cost of replacing the batteries. They will have a limited life, and the cost of replacement will be? I doesn't seem to be factored into the figures anywhere and from what I have seen of BEV construction it is going to be a far from trivial job to replace them.

                                  Or are the cars themselves (rather like smartphones and tablets) considered disposable at the end of their batteries useful life?

                                  10-20 years is typically quoted.

                                  Manufacturers typically warrant their batteries for 100,000 miles.

                                  Reports from high-mileage suers suggest that manufacturers' estimates of battery life are pessimistic.

                                  The current generation of cars may need new packs from around 2030, by then the likely cost is expected to have fallen to a couple of thousands pounds for a smaller EV. Naturally cars with poor batteries will sell for less than cars with a new battery pack.

                                  What may happen is that a new depreciation curve will emerge with a 'hump' for cars fitted with a second pack. Also expect affordable 'refurb' packs to appear that allow people with limited budgets to refresh high mileage cars, perhaps way past 200,000 or even 300,000 miles.

                                  Neil

                                  #573560
                                  duncan webster 1
                                  Participant
                                    @duncanwebster1

                                    Manufacturers will find a way of making it next to impossible to swap battery packs. Otherwise the number of new cars needed will rapidly dwindle.

                                    #573564
                                    Clive Hartland
                                    Participant
                                      @clivehartland94829

                                      This leads to renting an EV car. a couple of years driving and opt for a new model. No spares, no new batteries, no probs.

                                      #573582
                                      Martin W
                                      Participant
                                        @martinw

                                        No doubt they will come up with pink electricity to ensure that you are not using the domestic stuff and avoiding paying the appropriate tax. wink

                                        Edited By Martin W on 30/11/2021 00:33:52

                                        #573588
                                        pgk pgk
                                        Participant
                                          @pgkpgk17461
                                          Posted by Clive Hartland on 29/11/2021 22:16:48:

                                          This leads to renting an EV car. a couple of years driving and opt for a new model. No spares, no new batteries, no probs.

                                          This is happening now – not just with EV's. The PCP deals or car buying effectively are a 3-year rental and swap for a new car. It's much like the 'need' for a new fancy phone every year or two for the latest (minor) improvement.
                                          Until people and governments can get away from the mentality of consumerism for its own sake and bragging about their latest toy, then things won't change. I’m sure we all know someone who had to buy a new telly 'for the footie' and sits 8 feet away from a 65" or bigger screen in a tiny living room – while following social media discussion on their i-phone.

                                          pgk

                                          #573601
                                          J Hancock
                                          Participant
                                            @jhancock95746

                                            The first decent wind this year and 100,000 went without electricity for 'x' days.

                                            And if they had all relied on their EV……………..?

                                            #573605
                                            Adrian R2
                                            Participant
                                              @adrianr2

                                              Alternatively, if they all had EVs with V2H (Vehicle to Home) then they wouldn't have been without power. This is part of the sales pitch to in the US for the F150 lightning.

                                              #573607
                                              Ady1
                                              Participant
                                                @ady1

                                                oop North all the houses have a gas tank for when the electric goes down

                                                Essential for the bad winters but even in summer you get days without electricity because of the wind

                                                #573612
                                                JohnF
                                                Participant
                                                  @johnf59703
                                                  Posted by J Hancock on 30/11/2021 08:55:09:

                                                  The first decent wind this year and 100,000 went without electricity for 'x' days.

                                                  And if they had all relied on their EV……………..?

                                                  Our daughter lives in South Cumbria and still has no power ! It went of on Friday night and if they are lucky it will be back tomorrow Wednesday— maybe?

                                                  The outfit she now works for supplied a small EV a BMW model ? did not take long for her to request one with a ICE ! set off one day to the top of the county, poor weather necessitating the use of wipers, lights etc thus not enough range to drive home without a recharge.

                                                  #573614
                                                  SillyOldDuffer
                                                  Moderator
                                                    @sillyoldduffer
                                                    Posted by J Hancock on 30/11/2021 08:55:09:

                                                    The first decent wind this year and 100,000 went without electricity for 'x' days.

                                                    And if they had all relied on their EV……………..?

                                                    Forgotten what happened in September?

                                                    Nothing is completely reliable.

                                                    Dave

                                                    #573627
                                                    Circlip
                                                    Participant
                                                      @circlip

                                                      Oh yes it is Dave, stupidity is always reliable.

                                                      Regards Ian.

                                                      Edited By Circlip on 30/11/2021 10:52:19

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