Bottom line is any commonly available steel heat treated to T condition will be amply strong enough for spindle duties. When you look a tabulated properties there is no discernible difference so far as the likes of us are concerned.
But I'd still rate 603M36 T (En16 T) over 709M40 T (En 19 T) and 817M40 (En 24 T) for this sort of thing because its a manganese-molybdenum alloy and so much less susceptible to temper brittleness than chromium alloys. Its also a somewhat tougher and more shock resistant at normal temperatures.
709M40 (En19) is a chrome-moly steel and 817M40 (En24) is a nickel-chrome-moly steel so both can have temper brittleness issues at higher temper ranges if heat treatment is not done well. Pretty much unheard of in practice for 709M40 on suitable duties, especially since Euro Norms rationalisation has reduced the chrome content a little, even at the highest tensile range. T is pretty much bullet proof. 817M40 (En24) has an unfortunate history of occasional, inexplicable, brittle fracture even in T condition. That alloy is, and always has been, known to be sensitive to less than precise control of heat treatment conditions so best reserved for applications that need it. Not purchased on the "Its more expensive so it must be better." basis.
What you are really buying with these three different steels is the maximum diameter at which a given tensile strength range can be reached. 605M36 (En16) manages 63 mm diameter at T, maximum practical is V at 19 mm diameter. 709M40 (En19) goes out to 100 mm diameter at T and can make W at 19 mm. 817M40 (En24) hits 250 mm diameter at T and 29 mm at W.
Can't see any point in paying extra for properties at a size much larger than I plan to use.
Its worth remembering that the Griffith crack length at which catastrophic failure occurs gets shorter as the tensile range gets higher. There is a double whammy in that steels capable of higher tensile ranges in larger sections tend to have shorter crack lengths too. Generally no great worry up to T condition but beyond that its important to pay proper attention to such things.
As Mike says sharp edges and other stress raisers can cause things to break even when the official loads are well within limits. Motorcycle forks are surprisingly flexi. Even the hefty racer breed.
Always a good idea to avoid seriously low temperatures too. Below -50°C or so unfortunate things start happening. I may be a 603M36 T fan boy but no way am I taking it to deepest Antartica winter as it seriously doesn't like getting really cold.
Clive
Edited By Clive Foster on 30/08/2021 22:40:47